Iowa State
Men - Women
2013 - 2014 - 2015
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RankNameGradeRating
91  Martin Coolidge SR 31:49
126  Josef Andrews FR 31:54
186  Dan Curts FR 32:07
243  Edward Kemboi SR 32:18
250  Christian DeLago SO 32:19
296  Toby Hardwick FR 32:27
418  Brian Llamas JR 32:44
456  Nathan Rodriguez FR 32:47
475  Tyler Jermann SR 32:48
546  Brian Biekert SR 32:56
1,322  Patrick Peterson SR 34:04
National Rank #28 of 311
Midwest Region Rank #2 of 33
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 54.9%
Most Likely Finish 26th at Nationals


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.5%
Top 20 at Nationals 13.4%


Regional Champion 3.7%
Top 5 in Regional 83.9%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings



Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.



RaceDateTeam Rating Martin Coolidge Josef Andrews Dan Curts Edward Kemboi Christian DeLago Toby Hardwick Brian Llamas Nathan Rodriguez Tyler Jermann Brian Biekert Patrick Peterson
Roy Griak Invitational 09/27 486 30:58 31:54 32:03 31:47 32:26 33:15 33:52 32:23 33:02
Wisconsin adidas Invitational 10/17 628 31:38 31:58 31:59 32:22 32:42 33:11 32:37
Wisconsin adidas Invitational - B 10/17 32:36
Big 12 Championship 11/01 775 32:14 32:06 32:28 32:37 32:28 32:36 32:45 32:48 33:12 34:03
Midwest Region Championships 11/14 738 32:14 31:55 32:30 32:22 32:29 32:36 32:34
NCAA Championship 11/22 33:00





NCAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 54.9% 24.0 585 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.7 0.6 0.7 1.1 1.2 1.6 1.6 2.2 2.9 2.7 3.1 3.5 3.7 3.5 4.7 4.1 4.4 4.1 4.3 3.7
Region Championship 100% 3.7 132 3.7 25.6 21.8 17.8 14.8 10.1 4.3 1.1 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Martin Coolidge 69.2% 88.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1
Dan Curts 55.6% 129.6
Edward Kemboi 54.9% 157.9
Christian DeLago 54.9% 161.9
Toby Hardwick 54.9% 179.2
Brian Llamas 54.9% 209.1
Nathan Rodriguez 54.9% 214.4


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Martin Coolidge 10.0 0.7 1.8 3.2 4.7 7.0 7.5 7.3 6.5 6.1 5.0 5.1 4.4 4.0 3.9 2.8 2.7 2.7 1.8 2.0 1.7 1.4 1.3 1.5 1.2 1.1
Dan Curts 19.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.8 1.4 1.9 2.8 3.4 3.6 4.6 4.0 4.6 4.4 4.0 3.7 3.5 3.1 3.0 3.1 2.6 3.1 2.7 2.3 2.3
Edward Kemboi 27.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.3 1.3 2.0 2.2 2.7 2.4 2.9 3.4 3.5 3.4 3.5 3.0 2.9 2.6 3.1 2.9
Christian DeLago 28.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.4 1.8 2.0 1.9 2.5 2.9 3.0 3.0 2.9 2.9 3.3 3.0 3.3 3.1 2.8
Toby Hardwick 35.4 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.6 0.7 1.0 1.4 1.6 1.7 2.2 2.4 2.1 2.4 2.3 3.0 2.8
Brian Llamas 52.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.7
Nathan Rodriguez 56.5 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 3.7% 100.0% 3.7 3.7 1
2 25.6% 100.0% 25.6 25.6 2
3 21.8% 71.3% 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.6 0.5 1.0 1.1 2.9 4.4 4.4 6.3 15.5 3
4 17.8% 41.5% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.6 2.0 3.8 10.4 7.4 4
5 14.8% 16.0% 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 1.8 12.5 2.4 5
6 10.1% 2.0% 0.1 0.0 0.1 9.9 0.2 6
7 4.3% 4.3 7
8 1.1% 1.1 8
9 0.4% 0.4 9
10 0.3% 0.3 10
11 0.0% 0.0 11
12 0.0% 0.0 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
Total 100% 54.9% 3.7 25.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.7 0.7 1.4 1.6 3.7 6.6 10.1 45.1 29.4 25.5




Points




At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.




Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Texas 91.6% 2.0 1.8
North Carolina 70.4% 1.0 0.7
Minnesota 35.0% 1.0 0.4
Eastern Kentucky 22.6% 1.0 0.2
Princeton 14.7% 1.0 0.1
Lamar 13.6% 1.0 0.1
Illinois 7.6% 2.0 0.2
Texas-Arlington 0.4% 1.0 0.0
Missouri 0.3% 1.0 0.0
Texas A&M 0.2% 2.0 0.0
Columbia 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Dartmouth 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 3.6
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 8.0